The probability of Iran’s leadership blocking the Strait of Hormuz for shipping has increased following the U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities. At press time, shares of the Yes side of the Polymarket-listed contract “Will Iran Close the Strait of Hormuz before June 30 traded at 40 cents, representing a 40% probability. That’s a notable […]
In a dramatic escalation of trade tensions, China has announced an 84% tariff on all imports from the United States, effective from April 10, 2025, according to the Ministry of Finance of the People’s Republic of China. The move comes in direct response to the U.S. increasing its own tariffs on Chinese exports from 34% […]